Is FOXF or HOG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) and Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. FOXF has a Quality of Company score of 7.3/10 while HOG scores 8.6/10.

Which is a better buy — FOXF or HOG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do FOXF and HOG valuations compare?

FOXF at $18.04 and HOG at $24.18 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

FOXF vs HOG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

FOXF

Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts

Fox Factory Holding Corp.

Quality

7.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$18.04

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

HOG

Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Quality

8.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$24.18

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	FOXF Fair Value	FOXF Upside	HOG Fair Value	HOG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.66	-79.7%	$59.99	+148.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$90.71	+402.8%	$32.98	+36.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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FOXF vs HOG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

HOG scores higher with a 8.6/10 quality rating vs FOXF's 7.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) and Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

FOXF currently trades at $18.04 with a QOC of 7.3/10, while HOG trades at $24.18 with a QOC of 8.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).