Is FOR or FPH more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Forestar Group Inc (FOR) and Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. FOR has a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 while FPH scores 8.3/10.

Which is a better buy — FOR or FPH?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do FOR and FPH valuations compare?

FOR at $27.47 and FPH at $5.03 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

FOR vs FPH Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

FOR

Real Estate

Forestar Group Inc

Quality

7.4

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$27.47

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

FPH

Real Estate

Five Point Holdings, LLC

Quality

8.3

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$5.03

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	FOR Fair Value	FOR Upside	FPH Fair Value	FPH Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.32	-95.2%	$9.61	+91.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$8.31	-69.8%	$12.07	+140.0%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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FOR vs FPH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

FPH scores higher with a 8.3/10 quality rating vs FOR's 7.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Forestar Group Inc (FOR) and Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

FOR currently trades at $27.47 with a QOC of 7.4/10, while FPH trades at $5.03 with a QOC of 8.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).