FMX vs STZ

Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A. vs Constellation Brands, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — STZ scores higher on quality with 8.0/10 vs FMX's 6.9/10. FMX trades at $120.14 while STZ trades at $136.76. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FMX

Beverages - Brewers
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$120.14
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

STZ

Beverages - Brewers
Constellation Brands, Inc.
Quality
8.0
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$136.76
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
FMX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
STZ
Earnings Power Value sees +46.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

FMX vs STZ — Fair Value Comparison

FMX
$0$47$95$142 Price$120.14 Bayesian …$24.67 (-79.5%) Earnings …$58.99 (-50.9%)
STZ
$0$79$157$236 Price$136.76 Bayesian …$113.92 (-16.7%) Earnings …$199.73 (+46.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType FMX Fair ValueFMX Upside STZ Fair ValueSTZ Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $24.67 -79.5% $113.92 -16.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $58.99 -50.9% $199.73 +46.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

FMX vs STZ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

STZ scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs FMX's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FMX and STZ Valuations Compare?

At $120.14, FMX trades +79.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.67, while STZ at $136.76 trades +16.7% above its estimate of $113.92. FMX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: FMX vs STZ

FMX earns a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 compared to STZ's 8.0/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FMX vs STZ

Review the value trap analysis for both FMX and STZ to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Brewers

Both FMX and STZ operate in Beverages - Brewers, which has 7 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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