FMX vs SAM

Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A. vs Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The) — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — SAM scores higher on quality with 7.8/10 vs FMX's 6.9/10. FMX trades at $120.14 while SAM trades at $162.44. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FMX

Beverages - Brewers
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$120.14
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

SAM

Beverages - Brewers
Boston Beer Company, Inc. (The)
Quality
7.8
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$162.44
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
FMX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
SAM
Bayesian DCF sees +49.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

FMX vs SAM — Fair Value Comparison

FMX
$0$47$95$142 Price$120.14 Bayesian …$24.67 (-79.5%) Earnings …$58.99 (-50.9%)
SAM
$0$95$190$286 Price$162.44 Bayesian …$242.06 (+49.0%) Earnings …$64.77 (-60.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType FMX Fair ValueFMX Upside SAM Fair ValueSAM Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $24.67 -79.5% $242.06 +49.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $58.99 -50.9% $64.77 -60.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

FMX vs SAM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

SAM scores higher with a 7.8/10 quality rating vs FMX's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FMX and SAM Valuations Compare?

At $120.14, FMX trades +79.5% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.67, while SAM at $162.44 trades +49.0% below its estimate of $242.06. FMX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: FMX vs SAM

FMX earns a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 compared to SAM's 7.8/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FMX vs SAM

Review the value trap analysis for both FMX and SAM to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Brewers

Both FMX and SAM operate in Beverages - Brewers, which has 7 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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