FIZZ vs PEP

National Beverage Corp. vs Pepsico, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — FIZZ scores higher on quality with 9.3/10 vs PEP's 7.1/10. FIZZ trades at $35.57 while PEP trades at $142.00. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FIZZ

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
National Beverage Corp.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$35.57
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

PEP

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Pepsico, Inc.
Quality
7.1
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$142.00
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
FIZZ
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
PEP
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

FIZZ vs PEP — Fair Value Comparison

FIZZ
$0$14$28$42 Price$35.57 Bayesian …$29.95 (-15.8%) Earnings …$18.79 (-47.2%)
PEP
$0$56$112$168 Price$142.00 Bayesian …$48.70 (-65.7%) Earnings …$59.83 (-57.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType FIZZ Fair ValueFIZZ Upside PEP Fair ValuePEP Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $29.95 -15.8% $48.70 -65.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $18.79 -47.2% $59.83 -57.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

FIZZ vs PEP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FIZZ scores higher with a 9.3/10 quality rating vs PEP's 7.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FIZZ and PEP Valuations Compare?

At $35.57, FIZZ trades +15.8% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $29.95, while PEP at $142.00 trades +65.7% above its estimate of $48.70. PEP shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: FIZZ vs PEP

FIZZ earns a Quality of Company score of 9.3/10 compared to PEP's 7.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FIZZ vs PEP

FIZZ carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while PEP shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Both FIZZ and PEP operate in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic, which has 13 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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