FBP vs FCNCO

First BanCorp. New vs First Citizens BancShares, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — FBP scores higher on quality with 9.3/10 vs FCNCO's 8.2/10. FBP trades at $24.00 while FCNCO trades at $20.85. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

FBP

Banks - Regional
First BanCorp. New
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
14
SAFE
Price
$24.00
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

FCNCO

Banks - Regional
First Citizens BancShares, Inc.
Quality
8.2
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$20.85
Last close
Models
2/13
Active
FBP
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
FCNCO
Markov DDM sees +193.2% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

FBP vs FCNCO — Fair Value Comparison

FBP
$0$9$19$28 Price$24.00 Bayesian …$15.63 (-34.9%) Earnings …$18.17 (-24.3%)
FCNCO
$0$24$48$72 Price$20.85 Markov DDM$61.12 (+193.2%) PWERM$0.23 (-99.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType FBP Fair ValueFBP Upside FCNCO Fair ValueFCNCO Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $15.63 -34.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $18.17 -24.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $61.12 +193.2%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $124.38 +418.3% $0.23 -99.0%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

FBP vs FCNCO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

FBP scores higher with a 9.3/10 quality rating vs FCNCO's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do FBP and FCNCO Valuations Compare?

FBP currently trades at $24.00 while FCNCO trades at $20.85. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: FBP vs FCNCO

FBP earns a Quality of Company score of 9.3/10 compared to FCNCO's 8.2/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: FBP vs FCNCO

Review the value trap analysis for both FBP and FCNCO to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both FBP and FCNCO operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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