Is EXP or MLM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) and Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EXP has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while MLM scores 7.6/10.

Which is a better buy — EXP or MLM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EXP and MLM valuations compare?

EXP at $218.96 and MLM at $575.14 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EXP vs MLM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EXP

Building Materials

Eagle Materials Inc

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$218.96

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

MLM

Building Materials

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

Quality

7.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$575.14

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EXP Fair Value	EXP Upside	MLM Fair Value	MLM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$91.45	-58.2%	$155.50	-73.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$100.40	-54.1%	$62.04	-89.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for EXP vs MLM — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

EXP vs MLM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EXP scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs MLM's 7.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) and Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EXP currently trades at $218.96 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while MLM trades at $575.14 with a QOC of 7.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).