Is EXP or JHX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) and James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EXP has a Quality of Company score of 9.6/10 while JHX scores 2.4/10.

Which is a better buy — EXP or JHX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EXP and JHX valuations compare?

EXP at $218.96 and JHX at $22.97 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EXP vs JHX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EXP

Building Materials

Eagle Materials Inc

Quality

9.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$218.96

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

JHX

Building Materials

James Hardie Industries plc.

Quality

2.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$22.97

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EXP Fair Value	EXP Upside	JHX Fair Value	JHX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$91.45	-58.2%	$5.79	-74.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$100.40	-54.1%	$6.55	-69.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EXP vs JHX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EXP scores higher with a 9.6/10 quality rating vs JHX's 2.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Eagle Materials Inc (EXP) and James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EXP currently trades at $218.96 with a QOC of 9.6/10, while JHX trades at $22.97 with a QOC of 2.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).