Is EP or EPM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) and Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. EP has a Quality of Company score of 5.5/10 while EPM scores 6.8/10.

Which is a better buy — EP or EPM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do EP and EPM valuations compare?

EP at $2.54 and EPM at $4.24 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

EP vs EPM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

EP

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Empire Petroleum Corporation

Quality

5.5

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$2.54

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

EPM

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Evolution Petroleum Corporation

Quality

6.8

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$4.24

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	EP Fair Value	EP Upside	EPM Fair Value	EPM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.25	-90.3%	$10.97	+158.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$0.39	-91.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$0.14	-94.7%	$7.68	+81.1%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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EP vs EPM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

EPM scores higher with a 6.8/10 quality rating vs EP's 5.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) and Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

EP currently trades at $2.54 with a QOC of 5.5/10, while EPM trades at $4.24 with a QOC of 6.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).