Is DG or DLTR more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Dollar General Corporation (DG) and Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. DG has a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 while DLTR scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — DG or DLTR?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do DG and DLTR valuations compare?

DG at $109.90 and DLTR at $113.00 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

DG vs DLTR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

DG

Discount Stores

Dollar General Corporation

Quality

8.5

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$109.90

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

DLTR

Discount Stores

Dollar Tree, Inc.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$113.00

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	DG Fair Value	DG Upside	DLTR Fair Value	DLTR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$107.92	-1.8%	$86.74	-23.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$100.10	-12.5%	$20.22	-82.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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DG vs DLTR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

DG scores higher with a 8.5/10 quality rating vs DLTR's 8.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Dollar General Corporation (DG) and Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

DG currently trades at $109.90 with a QOC of 8.5/10, while DLTR trades at $113.00 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).