Is CTO or CXW more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) and CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CTO has a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 while CXW scores 6.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CTO or CXW?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CTO and CXW valuations compare?

CTO at $20.55 and CXW at $21.08 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CTO vs CXW Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CTO

Real Estate Investment Trusts

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$20.55

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CXW

Real Estate Investment Trusts

CoreCivic, Inc.

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$21.08

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CTO Fair Value	CTO Upside	CXW Fair Value	CXW Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$17.26	-16.0%	$6.00	-72.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$3.89	-81.1%	$9.81	-53.4%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CTO vs CXW — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CXW scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs CTO's 5.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) and CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CTO currently trades at $20.55 with a QOC of 5.7/10, while CXW trades at $21.08 with a QOC of 6.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).