Is COP or CVX more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares ConocoPhillips (COP) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. COP has a Quality of Company score of 8.1/10 while CVX scores 9.0/10.

Which is a better buy — COP or CVX?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do COP and CVX valuations compare?

COP at $113.98 and CVX at $182.46 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

COP vs CVX Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

COP

Petroleum Refining

ConocoPhillips

Quality

8.1

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$113.98

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CVX

Petroleum Refining

Chevron Corporation

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$182.46

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	COP Fair Value	COP Upside	CVX Fair Value	CVX Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$251.40	+120.6%	$140.79	-22.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$26.09	-77.1%	$7.44	-95.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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COP vs CVX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CVX scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs COP's 8.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing ConocoPhillips (COP) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

COP currently trades at $113.98 with a QOC of 8.1/10, while CVX trades at $182.46 with a QOC of 9.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).