COCO vs FIZZ

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. vs National Beverage Corp. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — COCO scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs FIZZ's 9.3/10. COCO trades at $74.45 while FIZZ trades at $35.57. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

COCO

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
The Vita Coco Company, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
28
LOW
Price
$74.45
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

FIZZ

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
National Beverage Corp.
Quality
9.3
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$35.57
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
COCO
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
FIZZ
Quality Score 9.3/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

COCO vs FIZZ — Fair Value Comparison

COCO
$0$29$59$88 Price$74.45 Bayesian …$15.86 (-78.7%) Earnings …$14.56 (-80.4%)
FIZZ
$0$14$28$42 Price$35.57 Bayesian …$29.95 (-15.8%) Earnings …$18.79 (-47.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType COCO Fair ValueCOCO Upside FIZZ Fair ValueFIZZ Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $15.86 -78.7% $29.95 -15.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $14.56 -80.4% $18.79 -47.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

COCO vs FIZZ — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

COCO scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs FIZZ's 9.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do COCO and FIZZ Valuations Compare?

At $74.45, COCO trades +78.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $15.86, while FIZZ at $35.57 trades +15.8% above its estimate of $29.95. COCO shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: COCO vs FIZZ

COCO earns a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 compared to FIZZ's 9.3/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: COCO vs FIZZ

COCO carries a LOW value trap risk (28/100) while FIZZ shows SAFE risk (18/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Both COCO and FIZZ operate in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic, which has 13 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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