CHRD vs CRK

Chord Energy Corporation vs Comstock Resources, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — CRK scores higher on quality with 7.8/10 vs CHRD's 7.8/10. CHRD trades at $137.99 while CRK trades at $13.45. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

CHRD

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Chord Energy Corporation
Quality
7.8
out of 10
Value Trap
38
LOW
Price
$137.99
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

CRK

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Comstock Resources, Inc.
Quality
7.8
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$13.45
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
CHRD
Bayesian DCF sees +327.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CRK
Bayesian DCF sees +51.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

CHRD vs CRK — Fair Value Comparison

CHRD
$0$232$464$696 Price$137.99 Bayesian …$589.97 (+327.5%) Earnings …$47.15 (-65.8%)
CRK
$0$8$16$24 Price$13.45 Bayesian …$20.42 (+51.8%) Earnings …$18.94 (+9.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType CHRD Fair ValueCHRD Upside CRK Fair ValueCRK Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $589.97 +327.5% $20.42 +51.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $47.15 -65.8% $18.94 +9.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

CHRD vs CRK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

CRK scores higher with a 7.8/10 quality rating vs CHRD's 7.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do CHRD and CRK Valuations Compare?

At $137.99, CHRD trades +327.5% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $589.97, while CRK at $13.45 trades +51.8% below its estimate of $20.42. CHRD shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: CHRD vs CRK

CHRD earns a Quality of Company score of 7.8/10 compared to CRK's 7.8/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: CHRD vs CRK

CHRD carries a LOW value trap risk (38/100) while CRK shows SAFE risk (22/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Both CHRD and CRK operate in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas, which has 4 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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