Is CHDN or INSE more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) and Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CHDN has a Quality of Company score of 9.0/10 while INSE scores 7.0/10.

Which is a better buy — CHDN or INSE?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CHDN and INSE valuations compare?

CHDN at $88.43 and INSE at $7.62 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CHDN vs INSE Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CHDN

Gambling

Churchill Downs, Incorporated

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$88.43

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

INSE

Gambling

Inspired Entertainment, Inc.

Quality

7.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$7.62

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CHDN Fair Value	CHDN Upside	INSE Fair Value	INSE Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$51.59	-41.7%	$2.39	-66.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$5.44	-28.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$9.93	-88.8%	$2.12	-72.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CHDN vs INSE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CHDN scores higher with a 9.0/10 quality rating vs INSE's 7.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) and Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CHDN currently trades at $88.43 with a QOC of 9.0/10, while INSE trades at $7.62 with a QOC of 7.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).