Is CGAU or CTGO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CGAU has a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 while CTGO scores 5.1/10.

Which is a better buy — CGAU or CTGO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CGAU and CTGO valuations compare?

CGAU at $17.05 and CTGO at $19.95 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CGAU vs CTGO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CGAU

Gold

Centerra Gold Inc.

Quality

6.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$17.05

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CTGO

Gold

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

Quality

5.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$19.95

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CGAU Fair Value	CGAU Upside	CTGO Fair Value	CTGO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$16.47	-3.4%	$19.09	-4.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$7.03	-58.8%	$17.31	-13.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CGAU vs CTGO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CGAU scores higher with a 6.7/10 quality rating vs CTGO's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CGAU currently trades at $17.05 with a QOC of 6.7/10, while CTGO trades at $19.95 with a QOC of 5.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).