Is CG or CGBD more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) and Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CG has a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 while CGBD scores 6.6/10.

Which is a better buy — CG or CGBD?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CG and CGBD valuations compare?

CG at $45.09 and CGBD at $10.92 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CG vs CGBD Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CG

Asset Management

The Carlyle Group Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$45.09

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CGBD

Asset Management

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

Quality

6.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$10.92

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CG Fair Value	CG Upside	CGBD Fair Value	CGBD Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.54	-91.0%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$15.75	-65.1%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	—	—	$15.29	+40.1%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$33.56	-25.6%	$22.95	+110.2%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CG vs CGBD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CG scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs CGBD's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) and Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc. (CGBD) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CG currently trades at $45.09 with a QOC of 7.5/10, while CGBD trades at $10.92 with a QOC of 6.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).