Is CENX or CSTM more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Century Aluminum Company (CENX) and Constellium SE (CSTM) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CENX has a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 while CSTM scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — CENX or CSTM?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CENX and CSTM valuations compare?

CENX at $67.53 and CSTM at $34.35 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CENX vs CSTM Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CENX

Aluminum

Century Aluminum Company

Quality

7.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$67.53

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CSTM

Aluminum

Constellium SE

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$34.35

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CENX Fair Value	CENX Upside	CSTM Fair Value	CSTM Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.70	-93.0%	$3.33	-90.3%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$46.62	-31.0%	$4.32	-87.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for CENX vs CSTM — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

CENX vs CSTM — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CENX scores higher with a 7.9/10 quality rating vs CSTM's 7.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Century Aluminum Company (CENX) and Constellium SE (CSTM) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CENX currently trades at $67.53 with a QOC of 7.9/10, while CSTM trades at $34.35 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).