Is CD or CRCL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) and Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CD has a Quality of Company score of 1.9/10 while CRCL scores 5.6/10.

Which is a better buy — CD or CRCL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CD and CRCL valuations compare?

CD at $8.69 and CRCL at $108.24 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CD vs CRCL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CD

Capital Markets

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -

Quality

1.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$8.69

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CRCL

Capital Markets

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

Quality

5.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$108.24

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CD Fair Value	CD Upside	CRCL Fair Value	CRCL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.28	-73.8%	$31.88	-70.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$0.05	-99.0%	$49.36	-50.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for CD vs CRCL — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

CD vs CRCL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CRCL scores higher with a 5.6/10 quality rating vs CD's 1.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) and Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CD currently trades at $8.69 with a QOC of 1.9/10, while CRCL trades at $108.24 with a QOC of 5.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).