Is CARR or CSL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. CARR has a Quality of Company score of 7.6/10 while CSL scores 9.8/10.

Which is a better buy — CARR or CSL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do CARR and CSL valuations compare?

CARR at $63.81 and CSL at $342.69 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

CARR vs CSL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

CARR

Building Products & Equipment

Carrier Global Corporation

Quality

7.6

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$63.81

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CSL

Building Products & Equipment

Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Quality

9.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$342.69

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	CARR Fair Value	CARR Upside	CSL Fair Value	CSL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$29.09	-54.4%	$221.18	-35.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$27.68	-56.6%	$20.82	-93.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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CARR vs CSL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CSL scores higher with a 9.8/10 quality rating vs CARR's 7.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) and Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

CARR currently trades at $63.81 with a QOC of 7.6/10, while CSL trades at $342.69 with a QOC of 9.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).