Is BURL or CTRN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) and Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BURL has a Quality of Company score of 8.4/10 while CTRN scores 5.8/10.

Which is a better buy — BURL or CTRN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BURL and CTRN valuations compare?

BURL at $300.52 and CTRN at $50.50 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BURL vs CTRN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BURL

Apparel Retail

Burlington Stores, Inc.

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$300.52

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

CTRN

Apparel Retail

Citi Trends, Inc.

Quality

5.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$50.50

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BURL Fair Value	BURL Upside	CTRN Fair Value	CTRN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$20.06	-93.7%	$1.59	-96.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$21.89	-92.7%	$46.59	-2.8%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for BURL vs CTRN — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

BURL vs CTRN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

BURL scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs CTRN's 5.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) and Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BURL currently trades at $300.52 with a QOC of 8.4/10, while CTRN trades at $50.50 with a QOC of 5.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).