Is BTOG or CME more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Bit Origin Limited (BTOG) and CME Group Inc. (CME) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BTOG has a Quality of Company score of 2.4/10 while CME scores 9.8/10.

Which is a better buy — BTOG or CME?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BTOG and CME valuations compare?

BTOG at $1.70 and CME at $277.42 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BTOG vs CME Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BTOG

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Bit Origin Limited

Quality

2.4

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$1.70

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

CME

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

CME Group Inc.

Quality

9.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$277.42

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BTOG Fair Value	BTOG Upside	CME Fair Value	CME Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.45	-73.5%	$174.72	-37.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$77.99	-71.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$3.83	+120.4%	$227.93	-17.8%

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BTOG vs CME — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CME scores higher with a 9.8/10 quality rating vs BTOG's 2.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Bit Origin Limited (BTOG) and CME Group Inc. (CME) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BTOG currently trades at $1.70 with a QOC of 2.4/10, while CME trades at $277.42 with a QOC of 9.8/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).