BGSI vs KMX

Boyd Group Services Inc. vs CarMax Inc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BGSI scores higher on quality with 6.9/10 vs KMX's 5.9/10. BGSI trades at $104.58 while KMX trades at $43.93. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BGSI

Auto & Truck Dealerships
Boyd Group Services Inc.
Quality
6.9
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$104.58
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

KMX

Auto & Truck Dealerships
CarMax Inc
Quality
5.9
out of 10
Value Trap
20
SAFE
Price
$43.93
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
BGSI
Bayesian DCF sees +58.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
KMX
First Chicago sees +119.7% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BGSI vs KMX — Fair Value Comparison

BGSI
$0$65$130$195 Price$104.58 Bayesian …$165.31 (+58.1%) Earnings …$25.74 (-75.4%)
KMX
$0$38$76$114 Price$43.93 Markov DDM$8.09 (-78.9%) First Chi…$96.51 (+119.7%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BGSI Fair ValueBGSI Upside KMX Fair ValueKMX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $165.31 +58.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $25.74 -75.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $66.57 -36.3% $96.51 +119.7%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $3.38 -96.8% $8.09 -78.9%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BGSI vs KMX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BGSI scores higher with a 6.9/10 quality rating vs KMX's 5.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BGSI and KMX Valuations Compare?

BGSI currently trades at $104.58 while KMX trades at $43.93. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: BGSI vs KMX

BGSI earns a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 compared to KMX's 5.9/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BGSI vs KMX

Review the value trap analysis for both BGSI and KMX to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Auto & Truck Dealerships

Both BGSI and KMX operate in Auto & Truck Dealerships, which has 23 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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