Is BGS or CAG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) and ConAgra Brands, Inc. (CAG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. BGS has a Quality of Company score of 6.9/10 while CAG scores 7.6/10.

Which is a better buy — BGS or CAG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do BGS and CAG valuations compare?

BGS at $4.09 and CAG at $13.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

BGS vs CAG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

BGS

Food and Kindred Products

B&G Foods, Inc.

Quality

6.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$4.09

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

CAG

Food and Kindred Products

ConAgra Brands, Inc.

Quality

7.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$13.28

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	BGS Fair Value	BGS Upside	CAG Fair Value	CAG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$40.82	+207.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$1.32	-90.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$3.17	-22.4%	$8.33	-37.3%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$6.64	+62.4%	$59.03	+344.5%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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BGS vs CAG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

CAG scores higher with a 7.6/10 quality rating vs BGS's 6.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) and ConAgra Brands, Inc. (CAG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

BGS currently trades at $4.09 with a QOC of 6.9/10, while CAG trades at $13.28 with a QOC of 7.6/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).