AZN vs GRFS

AstraZeneca PLC vs Grifols, S.A. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AZN scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs GRFS's 1.7/10. AZN trades at $177.45 while GRFS trades at $7.63. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AZN

Drug Manufacturers - General
AstraZeneca PLC
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$177.45
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

GRFS

Drug Manufacturers - General
Grifols, S.A.
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$7.63
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
AZN
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
GRFS
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average

AZN vs GRFS — Fair Value Comparison

AZN
$0$70$140$209 Price$177.45 Bayesian …$118.84 (-33.0%) Earnings …$72.98 (-58.9%)
GRFS
$0$3$6$9 Price$7.63 Bayesian …$2.21 (-71.1%) Earnings …$3.00 (-62.8%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AZN Fair ValueAZN Upside GRFS Fair ValueGRFS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $118.84 -33.0% $2.21 -71.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $72.98 -58.9% $3.00 -62.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AZN vs GRFS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AZN scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs GRFS's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AZN and GRFS Valuations Compare?

At $177.45, AZN trades +33.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $118.84, while GRFS at $7.63 trades +71.1% above its estimate of $2.21. GRFS shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AZN vs GRFS

AZN earns a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 compared to GRFS's 1.7/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AZN vs GRFS

Review the value trap analysis for both AZN and GRFS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - General

Both AZN and GRFS operate in Drug Manufacturers - General, which has 20 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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