AZN vs GILD

AstraZeneca PLC vs Gilead Sciences, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — Both AZN and GILD score 10.0/10 on quality. AZN trades at $177.45 while GILD trades at $127.57. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AZN

Drug Manufacturers - General
AstraZeneca PLC
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$177.45
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

GILD

Drug Manufacturers - General
Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
5
SAFE
Price
$127.57
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
AZN
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
GILD
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AZN vs GILD — Fair Value Comparison

AZN
$0$70$140$209 Price$177.45 Bayesian …$118.84 (-33.0%) Earnings …$72.98 (-58.9%)
GILD
$0$50$100$151 Price$127.57 Bayesian …$75.11 (-41.1%) Earnings …$64.61 (-49.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AZN Fair ValueAZN Upside GILD Fair ValueGILD Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $118.84 -33.0% $75.11 -41.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $72.98 -58.9% $64.61 -49.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AZN vs GILD — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

Both AZN and GILD score 10.0/10 on quality. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AZN and GILD Valuations Compare?

At $177.45, AZN trades +33.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $118.84, while GILD at $127.57 trades +41.1% above its estimate of $75.11. GILD shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AZN vs GILD

AZN earns a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 compared to GILD's 10.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AZN vs GILD

AZN carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while GILD shows SAFE risk (5/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - General

Both AZN and GILD operate in Drug Manufacturers - General, which has 20 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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