AYTU vs BTAI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — AYTU scores higher on quality with 6.0/10 vs BTAI's 4.4/10. AYTU trades at $2.10 while BTAI trades at $1.19. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AYTU

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Aytu BioPharma, Inc.

Quality

6.0

out of 10

Value Trap

24

SAFE

Price

$2.10

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VS

BTAI

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

24

SAFE

Price

$1.19

Last close

Models

4/13

Active

AYTU

Earnings Power Value sees +199.2% upside

Limited to 2/13 visible models

BTAI

PWERM sees +208.4% upside

Quality 4.4/10 — below average

AYTU vs BTAI — Fair Value Comparison

AYTU

BTAI

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AYTU Fair Value	AYTU Upside	BTAI Fair Value	BTAI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.19	+4.5%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$6.28	+199.2%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$5.76	+174.2%	$1.49	+24.3%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$2.65	+26.1%	$3.67	+208.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

AYTU vs BTAI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AYTU scores higher with a 6.0/10 quality rating vs BTAI's 4.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AYTU and BTAI Valuations Compare?

AYTU currently trades at $2.10 while BTAI trades at $1.19. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: AYTU vs BTAI

AYTU earns a Quality of Company score of 6.0/10 compared to BTAI's 4.4/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AYTU vs BTAI

AYTU carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while BTAI shows SAFE risk (24/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Both AYTU and BTAI operate in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic, which has 79 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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AYTU

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BTAI

View Full BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis →

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