Is AXTA or PPG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) and PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AXTA has a Quality of Company score of 8.4/10 while PPG scores 7.5/10.

Which is a better buy — AXTA or PPG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AXTA and PPG valuations compare?

AXTA at $30.77 and PPG at $112.98 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AXTA vs PPG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AXTA

Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers, Enamels & Allied Prods

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.

Quality

8.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$30.77

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

PPG

Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers, Enamels & Allied Prods

PPG Industries, Inc.

Quality

7.5

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$112.98

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AXTA Fair Value	AXTA Upside	PPG Fair Value	PPG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$7.34	-76.2%	$27.01	-76.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$6.60	-78.5%	$65.64	-41.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for AXTA vs PPG — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

AXTA vs PPG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AXTA scores higher with a 8.4/10 quality rating vs PPG's 7.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) and PPG Industries, Inc. (PPG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AXTA currently trades at $30.77 with a QOC of 8.4/10, while PPG trades at $112.98 with a QOC of 7.5/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).