AVEX vs BWXT

AEVEX Corp. vs BWX Technologies, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BWXT scores higher on quality with 9.4/10 vs AVEX's 1.7/10. AVEX trades at $32.44 while BWXT trades at $187.26. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AVEX

Aerospace & Defense
AEVEX Corp.
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$32.44
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
VS

BWXT

Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies, Inc.
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$187.26
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
AVEX
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average
BWXT
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AVEX vs BWXT — Fair Value Comparison

AVEX
$0$13$26$38 Price$32.44 Bayesian …$8.44 (-74.0%) First Chi…$6.62 (-75.2%)
BWXT
$0$74$147$221 Price$187.26 Bayesian …$7.03 (-96.7%) EROIC Spr…$23.27 (-89.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AVEX Fair ValueAVEX Upside BWXT Fair ValueBWXT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $8.44 -74.0% $7.03 -96.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $23.27 -89.2%
First Chicago Scenario $6.62 -75.2% $101.62 -53.0%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AVEX vs BWXT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BWXT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs AVEX's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AVEX and BWXT Valuations Compare?

At $32.44, AVEX trades +74.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.44, while BWXT at $187.26 trades +96.7% above its estimate of $7.03. BWXT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AVEX vs BWXT

AVEX earns a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 compared to BWXT's 9.4/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AVEX vs BWXT

Review the value trap analysis for both AVEX and BWXT to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both AVEX and BWXT operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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