AVD vs IPI

American Vanguard Corporation vs Intrepid Potash, Inc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — IPI scores higher on quality with 7.1/10 vs AVD's 5.7/10. AVD trades at $2.60 while IPI trades at $38.07. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AVD

Agricultural Inputs
American Vanguard Corporation
Quality
5.7
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$2.60
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

IPI

Agricultural Inputs
Intrepid Potash, Inc
Quality
7.1
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$38.07
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
AVD
Bayesian DCF sees +373.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
IPI
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AVD vs IPI — Fair Value Comparison

AVD
$0$5$10$15 Price$2.60 Bayesian …$12.30 (+373.0%) Earnings …$10.13 (+289.5%)
IPI
$0$15$30$45 Price$38.07 Bayesian …$25.34 (-33.4%) Earnings …$10.31 (-72.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AVD Fair ValueAVD Upside IPI Fair ValueIPI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $12.30 +373.0% $25.34 -33.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $10.13 +289.5% $10.31 -72.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AVD vs IPI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

IPI scores higher with a 7.1/10 quality rating vs AVD's 5.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AVD and IPI Valuations Compare?

At $2.60, AVD trades +373.0% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $12.30, while IPI at $38.07 trades +33.4% above its estimate of $25.34. AVD shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AVD vs IPI

AVD earns a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 compared to IPI's 7.1/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AVD vs IPI

AVD carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while IPI shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Agricultural Inputs

Both AVD and IPI operate in Agricultural Inputs, which has 12 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare AVD vs IPI differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.