Is AVD or ICL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) and ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AVD has a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 while ICL scores 2.1/10.

Which is a better buy — AVD or ICL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AVD and ICL valuations compare?

AVD at $2.72 and ICL at $6.75 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AVD vs ICL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AVD

Agricultural Inputs

American Vanguard Corporation

Quality

5.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.72

Last close

Models

10/13

Active

ICL

Agricultural Inputs

ICL Group Ltd.

Quality

2.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$6.75

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AVD Fair Value	AVD Upside	ICL Fair Value	ICL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$12.54	+360.9%	$2.28	-66.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$10.39	+282.1%	$0.93	-83.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AVD vs ICL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AVD scores higher with a 5.7/10 quality rating vs ICL's 2.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) and ICL Group Ltd. (ICL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AVD currently trades at $2.72 with a QOC of 5.7/10, while ICL trades at $6.75 with a QOC of 2.1/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).