Is AVAV or BYRN more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AVAV has a Quality of Company score of 8.0/10 while BYRN scores 8.2/10.

Which is a better buy — AVAV or BYRN?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AVAV and BYRN valuations compare?

AVAV at $214.39 and BYRN at $6.55 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AVAV vs BYRN Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AVAV

Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment, Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$214.39

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

BYRN

Aerospace & Defense

Byrna Technologies, Inc.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$6.55

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AVAV Fair Value	AVAV Upside	BYRN Fair Value	BYRN Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$48.46	-77.4%	$1.84	-72.0%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$21.18	-88.5%	$5.36	-18.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AVAV vs BYRN — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

BYRN scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs AVAV's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) and Byrna Technologies, Inc. (BYRN) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AVAV currently trades at $214.39 with a QOC of 8.0/10, while BYRN trades at $6.55 with a QOC of 8.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).