Is AVA or DUK more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Avista Corporation (AVA) and Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AVA has a Quality of Company score of 7.7/10 while DUK scores 7.4/10.

Which is a better buy — AVA or DUK?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AVA and DUK valuations compare?

AVA at $41.47 and DUK at $122.73 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AVA vs DUK Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AVA

Electric & Other Services Combined

Avista Corporation

Quality

7.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$41.47

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

DUK

Electric & Other Services Combined

Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin

Quality

7.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$122.73

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AVA Fair Value	AVA Upside	DUK Fair Value	DUK Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$120.44	+194.3%	$227.53	+85.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$22.24	-46.4%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$30.18	-27.2%	$41.24	-66.4%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AVA vs DUK — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AVA scores higher with a 7.7/10 quality rating vs DUK's 7.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Avista Corporation (AVA) and Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin (DUK) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AVA currently trades at $41.47 with a QOC of 7.7/10, while DUK trades at $122.73 with a QOC of 7.4/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).