Is ARLP or BTU more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alliance Resource Partners, L.P (ARLP) and Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARLP has a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 while BTU scores 5.2/10.

Which is a better buy — ARLP or BTU?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARLP and BTU valuations compare?

ARLP at $24.85 and BTU at $27.05 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARLP vs BTU Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARLP

Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$24.85

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

BTU

Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining

Peabody Energy Corporation

Quality

5.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$27.05

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARLP Fair Value	ARLP Upside	BTU Fair Value	BTU Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$59.86	+140.9%	$58.87	+117.6%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$30.46	+22.6%	$2.24	-91.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARLP vs BTU — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ARLP scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs BTU's 5.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alliance Resource Partners, L.P (ARLP) and Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARLP currently trades at $24.85 with a QOC of 8.2/10, while BTU trades at $27.05 with a QOC of 5.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).