Is ARIS or AU more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) and AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ARIS has a Quality of Company score of 2.0/10 while AU scores 9.2/10.

Which is a better buy — ARIS or AU?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ARIS and AU valuations compare?

ARIS at $17.14 and AU at $96.31 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ARIS vs AU Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ARIS

Gold

Aris Mining Corporation

Quality

2.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$17.14

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

AU

Gold

AngloGold Ashanti PLC

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$96.31

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ARIS Fair Value	ARIS Upside	AU Fair Value	AU Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$5.06	-70.5%	$38.98	-59.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$9.18	-51.5%	$67.25	-30.2%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ARIS vs AU — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AU scores higher with a 9.2/10 quality rating vs ARIS's 2.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) and AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ARIS currently trades at $17.14 with a QOC of 2.0/10, while AU trades at $96.31 with a QOC of 9.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).