APG vs CDLR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — APG scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs CDLR's 7.2/10. APG trades at $41.77 while CDLR trades at $25.02. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

APG

Engineering & Construction

APi Group Corporation

Quality

9.5

out of 10

Value Trap

17

SAFE

Price

$41.77

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VS

CDLR

Engineering & Construction

Cadeler A/S

Quality

7.2

out of 10

Value Trap

51

WARN

Price

$25.02

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

APG

Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier

Limited to 2/13 visible models

CDLR

Earnings Power Value sees +58.9% upside

Value Trap 51/100 — caution

APG vs CDLR — Fair Value Comparison

APG

CDLR

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	APG Fair Value	APG Upside	CDLR Fair Value	CDLR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$17.82	-57.3%	$21.30	-14.9%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.35	-96.8%	$39.75	+58.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

APG vs CDLR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

APG scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs CDLR's 7.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do APG and CDLR Valuations Compare?

At $41.77, APG trades +57.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.82, while CDLR at $25.02 trades +14.9% above its estimate of $21.30. APG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: APG vs CDLR

APG earns a Quality of Company score of 9.5/10 compared to CDLR's 7.2/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: APG vs CDLR

APG carries a SAFE value trap risk (17/100) while CDLR shows WARN risk (51/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Engineering & Construction

Both APG and CDLR operate in Engineering & Construction, which has 53 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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APG

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CDLR

View Full Cadeler A/S Analysis →

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