AMPY vs APA

Amplify Energy Corp. vs APA Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — APA scores higher on quality with 8.0/10 vs AMPY's 3.9/10. AMPY trades at $4.77 while APA trades at $37.75. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AMPY

Oil & Gas E&P
Amplify Energy Corp.
Quality
3.9
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$4.77
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

APA

Oil & Gas E&P
APA Corporation
Quality
8.0
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$37.75
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
AMPY
Bayesian DCF sees +337.6% upside
Quality 3.9/10 — below average
APA
Markov DDM sees +206.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AMPY vs APA — Fair Value Comparison

AMPY
$0$8$16$25 Price$4.77 Bayesian …$20.88 (+337.6%) Earnings …$1.30 (-75.4%)
APA
$0$45$91$136 Price$37.75 Earnings …$50.17 (+32.9%) Markov DDM$115.63 (+206.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AMPY Fair ValueAMPY Upside APA Fair ValueAPA Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $20.88 +337.6% — —
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.30 -75.4% $50.17 +32.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic — — $115.63 +206.3%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AMPY vs APA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

APA scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs AMPY's 3.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AMPY and APA Valuations Compare?

AMPY currently trades at $4.77 while APA trades at $37.75. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: AMPY vs APA

AMPY earns a Quality of Company score of 3.9/10 compared to APA's 8.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AMPY vs APA

AMPY carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while APA shows SAFE risk (18/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Oil & Gas E&P

Both AMPY and APA operate in Oil & Gas E&P, which has 4 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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AMPY
View Full Amplify Energy Corp. Analysis →
APA
View Full APA Corporation Analysis →