Is ALMS or ALXO more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ALMS has a Quality of Company score of 4.6/10 while ALXO scores 4.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ALMS or ALXO?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ALMS and ALXO valuations compare?

ALMS at $21.40 and ALXO at $1.89 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ALMS vs ALXO Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ALMS

Biotechnology

Alumis Inc.

Quality

4.6

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$21.40

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

ALXO

Biotechnology

ALX Oncology Holdings Inc.

Quality

4.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.89

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ALMS Fair Value	ALMS Upside	ALXO Fair Value	ALXO Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$4.81	-77.5%	$0.58	-69.1%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$11.35	-54.5%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.24	-98.9%	$0.82	-56.6%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

🔒

Unlock Full 13-Model Comparison

Access all valuation models for ALMS vs ALXO — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more.

Access Full Analysis — From $27/mo →

ALMS vs ALXO — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ALXO scores higher with a 4.9/10 quality rating vs ALMS's 4.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Alumis Inc. (ALMS) and ALX Oncology Holdings Inc. (ALXO) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ALMS currently trades at $21.40 with a QOC of 4.6/10, while ALXO trades at $1.89 with a QOC of 4.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).