ALHC vs OSCR

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. vs Oscar Health, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ALHC scores higher on quality with 7.9/10 vs OSCR's 6.6/10. ALHC trades at $13.64 while OSCR trades at $21.14. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ALHC

Healthcare Plans
Alignment Healthcare, Inc.
Quality
7.9
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$13.64
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

OSCR

Healthcare Plans
Oscar Health, Inc.
Quality
6.6
out of 10
Value Trap
32
LOW
Price
$21.14
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
ALHC
Bayesian DCF sees +30.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
OSCR
Bayesian DCF sees +88.7% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ALHC vs OSCR — Fair Value Comparison

ALHC
$0$7$14$21 Price$13.64 Bayesian …$17.78 (+30.3%) Earnings …$4.99 (-63.5%)
OSCR
$0$16$31$47 Price$21.14 Bayesian …$39.88 (+88.7%) Earnings …$33.01 (+56.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ALHC Fair ValueALHC Upside OSCR Fair ValueOSCR Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $17.78 +30.3% $39.88 +88.7%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.99 -63.5% $33.01 +56.2%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ALHC vs OSCR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ALHC scores higher with a 7.9/10 quality rating vs OSCR's 6.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ALHC and OSCR Valuations Compare?

At $13.64, ALHC trades +30.3% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.78, while OSCR at $21.14 trades +88.7% below its estimate of $39.88. OSCR shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ALHC vs OSCR

ALHC earns a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 compared to OSCR's 6.6/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ALHC vs OSCR

ALHC carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while OSCR shows LOW risk (32/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Healthcare Plans

Both ALHC and OSCR operate in Healthcare Plans, which has 8 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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