ALHC vs MOH

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. vs Molina Healthcare Inc — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MOH scores higher on quality with 8.0/10 vs ALHC's 7.9/10. ALHC trades at $13.64 while MOH trades at $179.86. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ALHC

Healthcare Plans
Alignment Healthcare, Inc.
Quality
7.9
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$13.64
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

MOH

Healthcare Plans
Molina Healthcare Inc
Quality
8.0
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$179.86
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
ALHC
Bayesian DCF sees +30.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
MOH
Bayesian DCF sees +99.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ALHC vs MOH — Fair Value Comparison

ALHC
$0$7$14$21 Price$13.64 Bayesian …$17.78 (+30.3%) Earnings …$4.99 (-63.5%)
MOH
$0$141$282$423 Price$179.86 Bayesian …$358.06 (+99.1%) Earnings …$174.61 (-2.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ALHC Fair ValueALHC Upside MOH Fair ValueMOH Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $17.78 +30.3% $358.06 +99.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $4.99 -63.5% $174.61 -2.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ALHC vs MOH — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MOH scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs ALHC's 7.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ALHC and MOH Valuations Compare?

At $13.64, ALHC trades +30.3% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.78, while MOH at $179.86 trades +99.1% below its estimate of $358.06. MOH shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ALHC vs MOH

ALHC earns a Quality of Company score of 7.9/10 compared to MOH's 8.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ALHC vs MOH

ALHC carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while MOH shows LOW risk (31/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Healthcare Plans

Both ALHC and MOH operate in Healthcare Plans, which has 8 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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