Is AIRO or AVAV more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) and AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AIRO has a Quality of Company score of 6.0/10 while AVAV scores 8.0/10.

Which is a better buy — AIRO or AVAV?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AIRO and AVAV valuations compare?

AIRO at $8.89 and AVAV at $214.39 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AIRO vs AVAV Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AIRO

Aerospace & Defense

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

Quality

6.0

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$8.89

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

AVAV

Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment, Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$214.39

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AIRO Fair Value	AIRO Upside	AVAV Fair Value	AVAV Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$2.03	-77.2%	$48.46	-77.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$6.03	-32.2%	$21.18	-88.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AIRO vs AVAV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AVAV scores higher with a 8.0/10 quality rating vs AIRO's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) and AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AIRO currently trades at $8.89 with a QOC of 6.0/10, while AVAV trades at $214.39 with a QOC of 8.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).