Is AIR or AVAV more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares AAR Corp. (AIR) and AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. AIR has a Quality of Company score of 8.2/10 while AVAV scores 8.0/10.

Which is a better buy — AIR or AVAV?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do AIR and AVAV valuations compare?

AIR at $114.97 and AVAV at $214.39 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

AIR vs AVAV Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

AIR

Aerospace & Defense

AAR Corp.

Quality

8.2

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$114.97

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

AVAV

Aerospace & Defense

AeroVironment, Inc.

Quality

8.0

out of 10

Value Trap

LOW

Price

$214.39

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	AIR Fair Value	AIR Upside	AVAV Fair Value	AVAV Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.68	-96.7%	$48.46	-77.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$34.27	-70.2%	$21.18	-88.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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AIR vs AVAV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AIR scores higher with a 8.2/10 quality rating vs AVAV's 8.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing AAR Corp. (AIR) and AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

AIR currently trades at $114.97 with a QOC of 8.2/10, while AVAV trades at $214.39 with a QOC of 8.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).