AGL vs ARDT

agilon health, inc. vs Ardent Health, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ARDT scores higher on quality with 8.8/10 vs AGL's 6.2/10. AGL trades at $92.44 while ARDT trades at $9.22. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AGL

Medical Care Facilities
agilon health, inc.
Quality
6.2
out of 10
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Price
$92.44
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
VS

ARDT

Medical Care Facilities
Ardent Health, Inc.
Quality
8.8
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$9.22
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
AGL
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
ARDT
Bayesian DCF sees +142.5% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AGL vs ARDT — Fair Value Comparison

AGL
$0$36$73$109 Price$92.44 Bayesian …$29.00 (-68.6%) ML-RIV$8.12 (-91.2%)
ARDT
$0$9$18$26 Price$9.22 Bayesian …$22.37 (+142.5%) Earnings …$3.04 (-69.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AGL Fair ValueAGL Upside ARDT Fair ValueARDT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $29.00 -68.6% $22.37 +142.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $3.04 -69.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $8.12 -91.2% $21.89 +137.3%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AGL vs ARDT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ARDT scores higher with a 8.8/10 quality rating vs AGL's 6.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AGL and ARDT Valuations Compare?

At $92.44, AGL trades +68.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $29.00, while ARDT at $9.22 trades +142.5% below its estimate of $22.37. ARDT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AGL vs ARDT

AGL earns a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 compared to ARDT's 8.8/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AGL vs ARDT

AGL carries a SAFE value trap risk (18/100) while ARDT shows SAFE risk (6/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Medical Care Facilities

Both AGL and ARDT operate in Medical Care Facilities, which has 7 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare AGL vs ARDT differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.