AGCC vs SNDL

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd vs SNDL Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — AGCC scores higher on quality with 6.2/10 vs SNDL's 6.1/10. AGCC trades at $16.50 while SNDL trades at $1.44. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

AGCC

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Quality
6.2
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$16.50
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

SNDL

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
SNDL Inc.
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
29
LOW
Price
$1.44
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
AGCC
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
SNDL
Bayesian DCF sees +82.8% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

AGCC vs SNDL — Fair Value Comparison

AGCC
$0$6$13$19 Price$16.50 Bayesian …$3.99 (-78.3%) ML-RIV$0.36 (-97.8%)
SNDL
$0$1$2$3 Price$1.44 Bayesian …$2.63 (+82.8%) Earnings …$1.56 (+8.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType AGCC Fair ValueAGCC Upside SNDL Fair ValueSNDL Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $3.99 -78.3% $2.63 +82.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.56 +8.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $0.36 -97.8% $2.81 +95.5%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

AGCC vs SNDL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

AGCC scores higher with a 6.2/10 quality rating vs SNDL's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do AGCC and SNDL Valuations Compare?

At $16.50, AGCC trades +78.3% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.99, while SNDL at $1.44 trades +82.8% below its estimate of $2.63. SNDL shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: AGCC vs SNDL

AGCC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 compared to SNDL's 6.1/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: AGCC vs SNDL

Review the value trap analysis for both AGCC and SNDL to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Both AGCC and SNDL operate in Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries, which has 9 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare AGCC vs SNDL differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.