ADM vs AQB

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company vs AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — ADM scores higher on quality with 7.5/10 vs AQB's 4.0/10. ADM trades at $82.61 while AQB trades at $1.03. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ADM

Farm Products
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Quality
7.5
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$82.61
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

AQB

Farm Products
AquaBounty Technologies, Inc.
Quality
4.0
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1.03
Last close
Models
6/13
Active
ADM
Bayesian DCF sees +2.0% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
AQB
PWERM sees +169.5% upside
Quality 4.0/10 — below average

ADM vs AQB — Fair Value Comparison

ADM
$0$33$66$99 Price$82.61 Bayesian …$84.26 (+2.0%) Earnings …$17.17 (-79.2%)
AQB
$0$1$2$3 Price$1.03 Dynamic N…$1.85 (+80.0%) PWERM$2.78 (+169.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ADM Fair ValueADM Upside AQB Fair ValueAQB Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $84.26 +2.0% — —
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $17.17 -79.2% — —
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $51.10 -38.1% $1.85 +80.0%
PWERM Option-Based $80.91 -2.1% $2.78 +169.5%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ADM vs AQB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

ADM scores higher with a 7.5/10 quality rating vs AQB's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ADM and AQB Valuations Compare?

ADM currently trades at $82.61 while AQB trades at $1.03. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: ADM vs AQB

ADM earns a Quality of Company score of 7.5/10 compared to AQB's 4.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ADM vs AQB

ADM carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while AQB shows SAFE risk (12/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Farm Products

Both ADM and AQB operate in Farm Products, which has 6 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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ADM
View Full Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Analysis →
AQB
View Full AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. Analysis →