Is ADIL or AEON more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc (ADIL) and AEON Biopharma, Inc. (AEON) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ADIL has a Quality of Company score of 4.4/10 while AEON scores 3.3/10.

Which is a better buy — ADIL or AEON?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ADIL and AEON valuations compare?

ADIL at $2.53 and AEON at $0.72 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ADIL vs AEON Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ADIL

Biotechnology

Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Quality

4.4

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$2.53

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

AEON

Biotechnology

AEON Biopharma, Inc.

Quality

3.3

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$0.72

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ADIL Fair Value	ADIL Upside	AEON Fair Value	AEON Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$1.85	-27.0%	$0.12	-86.6%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$0.33	-78.5%	$0.21	-76.4%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$1.58	-37.4%	$0.02	-97.6%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ADIL vs AEON — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ADIL scores higher with a 4.4/10 quality rating vs AEON's 3.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Adial Pharmaceuticals, Inc (ADIL) and AEON Biopharma, Inc. (AEON) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ADIL currently trades at $2.53 with a QOC of 4.4/10, while AEON trades at $0.72 with a QOC of 3.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).