ACM vs APG

AECOM vs APi Group Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — APG scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs ACM's 8.7/10. ACM trades at $72.28 while APG trades at $40.58. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ACM

Engineering & Construction
AECOM
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$72.28
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

APG

Engineering & Construction
APi Group Corporation
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
17
SAFE
Price
$40.58
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
ACM
Quality Score 8.7/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
APG
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ACM vs APG — Fair Value Comparison

ACM
$0$28$57$85 Price$72.28 Bayesian …$49.14 (-32.0%) Earnings …$58.34 (-19.3%)
APG
$0$16$32$48 Price$40.58 Bayesian …$18.48 (-54.5%) Earnings …$1.45 (-96.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ACM Fair ValueACM Upside APG Fair ValueAPG Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $49.14 -32.0% $18.48 -54.5%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $58.34 -19.3% $1.45 -96.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ACM vs APG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

APG scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs ACM's 8.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ACM and APG Valuations Compare?

At $72.28, ACM trades +32.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $49.14, while APG at $40.58 trades +54.5% above its estimate of $18.48. APG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ACM vs APG

ACM earns a Quality of Company score of 8.7/10 compared to APG's 9.5/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ACM vs APG

ACM carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while APG shows SAFE risk (17/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Engineering & Construction

Both ACM and APG operate in Engineering & Construction, which has 5 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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