ACI vs NGVC

Albertsons Companies, Inc. vs Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — NGVC scores higher on quality with 9.4/10 vs ACI's 8.5/10. ACI trades at $15.59 while NGVC trades at $29.10. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

ACI

Grocery Stores
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
Quality
8.5
out of 10
Value Trap
8
SAFE
Price
$15.59
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

NGVC

Grocery Stores
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$29.10
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
ACI
Bayesian DCF sees +15.3% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
NGVC
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

ACI vs NGVC — Fair Value Comparison

ACI
$0$7$15$22 Price$15.59 Bayesian …$18.69 (+15.3%) Earnings …$5.57 (-64.3%)
NGVC
$0$11$23$34 Price$29.10 Bayesian …$8.17 (-71.6%) Earnings …$0.48 (-98.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType ACI Fair ValueACI Upside NGVC Fair ValueNGVC Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $18.69 +15.3% $8.17 -71.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $5.57 -64.3% $0.48 -98.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

ACI vs NGVC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

NGVC scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs ACI's 8.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do ACI and NGVC Valuations Compare?

At $15.59, ACI trades +15.3% below its Bayesian DCF fair value of $18.69, while NGVC at $29.10 trades +71.6% above its estimate of $8.17. NGVC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: ACI vs NGVC

ACI earns a Quality of Company score of 8.5/10 compared to NGVC's 9.4/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: ACI vs NGVC

Review the value trap analysis for both ACI and NGVC to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Grocery Stores

Both ACI and NGVC operate in Grocery Stores, which has 11 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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