Is ACHC or AGL more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) and agilon health, inc. (AGL) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ACHC has a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 while AGL scores 6.2/10.

Which is a better buy — ACHC or AGL?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ACHC and AGL valuations compare?

ACHC at $23.20 and AGL at $92.28 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ACHC vs AGL Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ACHC

Medical Care Facilities

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

Quality

6.1

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$23.20

Last close

Models

9/13

Active

AGL

Medical Care Facilities

agilon health, inc.

Quality

6.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$92.28

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ACHC Fair Value	ACHC Upside	AGL Fair Value	AGL Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$28.96	-68.6%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$90.55	+290.3%	—	—
First Chicago	Scenario	$19.98	-13.2%	$447.06	+454.9%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$2.23	-90.4%	$8.12	-91.2%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ACHC vs AGL — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

AGL scores higher with a 6.2/10 quality rating vs ACHC's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) and agilon health, inc. (AGL) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ACHC currently trades at $23.20 with a QOC of 6.1/10, while AGL trades at $92.28 with a QOC of 6.2/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).