Is ACGLO or AIG more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) and American International Group, I (AIG) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. ACGLO has a Quality of Company score of 10.0/10 while AIG scores 7.9/10.

Which is a better buy — ACGLO or AIG?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do ACGLO and AIG valuations compare?

ACGLO at $19.87 and AIG at $74.40 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

ACGLO vs AIG Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

ACGLO

Insurance - Diversified

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$19.87

Last close

Models

7/13

Active

AIG

Insurance - Diversified

American International Group, I

Quality

7.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$74.40

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	ACGLO Fair Value	ACGLO Upside	AIG Fair Value	AIG Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$76.68	+285.9%	$80.12	+7.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	—	—	$198.60	+166.9%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$55.73	+180.5%	$96.86	+30.2%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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ACGLO vs AIG — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

ACGLO scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs AIG's 7.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) and American International Group, I (AIG) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

ACGLO currently trades at $19.87 with a QOC of 10.0/10, while AIG trades at $74.40 with a QOC of 7.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).